2009 Primetime Emmy Predictions

Outstanding Comedy Series: 30 Rock, Entourage, Family Guy, Flight of the Conchords, How I Met Your Mother, The Office, Weeds.

My pick:

Flight of the Conchords – Yes, of course I would pick FotC. My love for the guys is no secret so I’m very happy to see the series get a nomination. However, this pick wasn’t as easy for me as you may think. 30 Rock, Entourage, Family Guy, The Office and Weeds are all in my top 30 shows of all time. (Sorry, How I Met Your Mother.. I just don’t think you’re very funny.) It’s not just Bret and Jemaine I’m rooting for though.. The entire cast has put alot of hard work into the show. Rhys, Arj, Kristin and James Bobin are all getting some well-deserved recognition and that makes me smile. That being said, the Conchords don’t stand a chance of actually winning.

Who will probably win:

30 Rock – Come on, 30 Rock always wins.. Sorry everyone else. You never stood a chance.

Outstanding Directing for a Comedy Series: 30 Rock (Apollo, Apollo), 30 Rock (Reunion), 30 Rock (Generalissimo), Entourage (Tree Trippers), Flight of the Conchords (The Tough Brets), The Office (Stress Relief)

My pick:

Flight of the Conchords – This pick really isn’t because of Bret and Jemaine (considering they didn’t direct the episode), it’s because I adore James Bobin. However, I must admit that I’m torn since “Tree Trippers” may be my favorite Entourage episode. Aah! I’ll be happy if either of these two win, honestly.

Who will probably win:

30 Rock.. just pick one – See above.

Outstanding Directing for a Drama Series: Battlestar Galactica (Daybreak – Part Two), Boston Legal (Made in China/Last Call), Damages (Trust Me), ER (And in the End), Mad Men (The Jet Set)

My pick:

Mad Men – I haven’t seen this episode, but it’s the only series listed in the category that I actually watch.

Who will probably win:

Mad Men – BSG and ER may give Mad Men a run for it’s money considering each of them ended last season.. However, Mad Men is the 30 Rock of drama so it’s pretty much untouchable.

Outstanding Drama Series: Big Love, Breaking Bad, Damages, Dexter, House, LOST, Mad Men

My pick:

Dexter – No disrespect to LOST (I actually think it’s a better show) but I’m pulling for Dexter this year. Here’s why: Dexter is a fantastic show that I think gets overlooked because of shows like LOST and Mad Men. I’d like to see it win such a big honor while the writing is still superb and the story is fresh. Plus, LOST’s final season is next year so I don’t think it’ll even have a shot at winning in 2010 no matter how great season 4 is.

Who will probably win:

Mad Men – Again, like 30 Rock, Mad Men will win pretty much every time it’s nominated. I have nothing against Mad Men, it’s a really good series but I still don’t get the Academy’s boner over it. To me, Breaking Bad is just as good a series and LOST and Dexter are even better.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series: Alec Baldwin (30 Rock), Jemaine Clement (Flight of the Conchords), Tony Shalhoub (Monk), Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory), Steve Carell (The Office), Charlie Sheen (Two and a Half Men)

My pick:

Jemaine Clement – Duh! I didn’t even see this nomination coming though.. Nicely done, Jemaine! I am also very happy to see Jim Parsons also in the running. He seems like a very genuine person and The Big Bang Theory is the first laugh track sitcom I’ve really enjoyed in years.

Who will probably win:

Alec Baldwin – This isn’t just a pick because 30 Rock dominates, Alec really does a fantastic job on the show. This win will be deserved.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series: Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad), Michael C. Hall (Dexter), Hugh Laurie (House), Gabriel Byrne (In Treatment), Jon Hamm (Mad Men), Simon Baker (The Mentalist)

My pick:

Michael C. Hall – Michael is one of the best working TV actors out there and shows great range as the son, detective, brother, father and serial killer, Dexter Morgan. It’s just plain ridiculous that he doesn’t have an Emmy. He seems like the obvious choice to me so I’ll actually be pretty upset if Michael doesn’t win this year.
Oh, and Bryan Crantson has done a terrific job in Breaking Bad. There’s a good chance you’ll see him as one of my picks in the future.

Who will probably win:

Jon Hamm – I really don’t have anything against Jon. He does make a great Don Draper, but this year really should go to Hall. Not that I think Michael doesn’t have a good shot at it, but with the critics acting like Mad Men is the second coming, it seems like a safer choice to pick it’s leading man for the win.

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series: Tina Fey (30 Rock), Christina Applegate (Samantha Who?), Julia-Louis Dreyfus (The New Adventures of Old Christine), Sarah Silverman (The Sarah Silverman Program), Toni Colette (United States of Tara), Mary-Louise Parker (Weeds)

My pick:

Tina Fey – I don’t care for actresses, but I actually like Tina.. That’s a big deal.

Who will probably win:

Tina Fey – You know how 30 Rock wins everything? Tina Fey is why.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series: Tracy Morgan (30 Rock), Jack McBrayer (30 Rock), Kevin Dillon (Entourage), Neil Patrick Harris (How I Met Your Mother), Rainn Wilson (The Office), Jon Cryer (Two and a Half Men)

My pick:

Kevin Dillon – It’s not easy being as egotistical and OCD as Johnny Drama, but you wouldn’t know it watching Kevin do it week after week. As sad as I am to see Jeremy Piven shut out of this category this year, I’m happy to see Kevin getting some recognition. VICTORY!

Who will probably win:

Neil Patrick Harris – I like Doogie as much as the next guy, but How I Met Your Mother has never been very entertaining to me. However, I will say that in the few episodes I’ve caught, NPH has been the highlight.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series: William Shatner (Boston Legal), Christian Clemenson (Boston Legal), Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad), William Hurt (Damages), Michael Emerson (LOST), John Slattery (Mad Men)

My pick:

Michael Emerson – If Michael doesn’t win, it will be the biggest epic fail I’ve ever witnessed.. Of course, that’s what I said last year when he was robbed. Side note: Aaron Paul is marvelous on Breaking Bad.

Who will probably win:

Michael Emerson – If he doesn’t, MJ will personally murder every member of the Academy. Okay, not really.. but she will in her mind.

Outstanding Writing in a Comedy Series: 4 episodes of 30 Rock and Flight of the Conchords “Prime Minister”

My pick:

Flight of the Conchords – Way to keep 30 Rock from making it a shut out!

Who will probably win:

30 Rock – Come on, Academy. Really?

Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series: 4 episodes of Mad Men and LOST “The Incident”

My pick:

LOST – Stunning episode. The LOST writers have been consistently brilliant.

Who will probably win:

Mad Men – Hmm.. what was I saying about the Academy having a boner for 30 Rock and Mad Men? Yeah. Point proven.

Obviously that wasn’t all the categories, just all the main ones I have an interest in. I would like to add, however, that Flight of the Conchords was also nominated in the Outstanding Original Music and Lyric category for Carol Brown (Brandon’s favorite song from season 2) but will probably lose to Justin Timberlake’s Motherlover. Not to say Motherlover isn’t hilarious, but Justin getting an Emmy before Bret and Jemaine? Something has gone horribly wrong. It’s like the fact that Three 6 Mafia has the same number of Oscars as Al Pacino.

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One thought on “2009 Primetime Emmy Predictions

  1. great write-ups, great predictions and picks.. your picks and predix are pretty much right on with mine.. also, kudos for the Al props!

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